Category: Strategies

Is This The Optimum Minute To Enter An O2.5/BTTS Trade?

Since August, I’ve traded 395 matches as a part of my 5K Challenge.

If you don’t know, my aim is to turn a £500 bank into £5,000 using the O2.5 and BTTS markets.

With the winter leagues now done and dusted for the next few months, I thought it would be a good time to review my trades since August and see if I can gain any kind of insight.

Before I speak about all of the different stats and the conclusions I’ve come to, I first wanted to mention the main one which I really wanted to get a greater insight on.

Continue reading “Is This The Optimum Minute To Enter An O2.5/BTTS Trade?”

How Do You Define Value In Football Trading?

In a recent interview, cult football trading expert ‘Psychoff‘ was quoted as saying something along the lines of:-

“Value can’t be defined. Value is a feeling.”

This statement really resonates with me, as I believe that many traders put too much emphasis on stats and not enough emphasis on our feelings and intuition.

I myself have subscribed to systems in the past where software is used to show ‘value trades’ or ‘value tips’, but what is value and how do you determine if you have it or not?

For me, value is determined by how we perceive the flow of a football match, the likelihood of a goal being scored and the odds on offer at the time. It’s not so much about whether you are laying under 2.5 goals or backing over 3.5 goals, but rather the timing of your entry into the trade.

Continue reading “How Do You Define Value In Football Trading?”

SH LTD – The Golden Ticket?

Over the past year or so (yes, that long), I’ve been testing another lay the draw system that you may have previously seen me refer to on the website as ‘LTD3’.

During this time I traded 116 selections and had a win rate of 85.34% (99 wins).

When testing I was trading the selections similar to the LTD2 system in that I would trade out when one team took a two goal lead. However, if the game went beyond 65’, I would let it run and come out when the next goal was scored for a profit or the game ended goalless, which would result in a loss of around 2.5 pts.

Continue reading “SH LTD – The Golden Ticket?”

Working On A New Lay The Draw Strategy

I’m currently working on a new Lay the Draw strategy that promises to be a real bank booster!

It’s all theoretical at the moment, but I will be testing the new system on and off over the next month or two and will report back with my results via the website once done.

My trading results have been good over the past 6 months and the bank has grown nicely; however, I still feel that that there is room for improvement and that I can make my current systems and selection processes more refined and potentially more profitable.

That’s the plan anyway.

So stay tuned and keep coming back to the site or sign-up to my newsletter for further updates.

When Should You Exit A Lay The Draw Football Trade?

This is something many new football traders have trouble with.

The most important point for me is to be consistent.

Some of us are more cautious than others. Some like a greater degree of risk where others prefer less. Either way is fine, but you must be consistent.

Continue reading “When Should You Exit A Lay The Draw Football Trade?”