Is This The Optimum Minute To Enter An O2.5/BTTS Trade?

Since August, I’ve traded 395 matches as a part of my 5K Challenge.

If you don’t know, my aim is to turn a £500 bank into £5,000 using the O2.5 and BTTS markets.

With the winter leagues now done and dusted for the next few months, I thought it would be a good time to review my trades since August and see if I can gain any kind of insight.

Before I speak about all of the different stats and the conclusions I’ve come to, I first wanted to mention the main one which I really wanted to get a greater insight on.

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5k Challenge Results – Month 5 – Profit +2.53 Pts

Despite a somewhat patchy month in terms of results, I still managed to return a profit of +2.53 pts or £25.34 to my initial £10 one-point stakes.

As a result of my bank growth, I am now using stakes with a maximum liability of around £13, which is approximately 2% of my current bank.

Over the course of month 5 (12th December to 11th January), I traded a total of 67 games with 43 wins and 24 loses (64.17% strike rate).

In total, I staked £406.04 with an average stake of £6.06. This meant that my return or yield on my stakes was 6.24%.

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5k Challenge Results – Month 4 – Profit +7.64 Pts

Month 4 of my 5K Challenge saw another profit of +7.64 pts or £76.47 to my initial £10 one-point stakes.

As a result of my bank growth, I am now using stakes with a maximum liability of £13, which is 2% of my current bank.

Over the course of month 4 (12th November to 11th December), I traded a total of 41 games with 30 wins and 11 loses (73.17% strike rate).

In total, I staked £324.21 with an average stake of £7.90. This meant that my return or yield on my stakes was 23.58%. Nice!

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How To Maximise Value When Football Trading

In this post, I want to just take a moment to highlight an important aspect to trading football matches, which is how to maximise the value that we are getting.

If you follow me with my 5K Challenge you will know that I usually enter my trades by dripping my stakes in from the start.

I will mainly use four or five chunks starting at kick-off and gradually adding more in as the game progresses. So for example, if doing Over 2.5, adding 0.2 pts at 1.60, 0.2 pts at 1.70, 0.2 pts at 1.80, 0.2 pts at 1.90 and 0.2 at 2.0.

I will usually set these up prior to kick-off. If a goal goes in early I simply cancel any that have not been matched.

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5k Challenge Results – Month 3 – Profit +5.83 Pts

So we got back on track this month with a profit of +5.83 pts or £58.37 to my current £10 stakes.

In total, I traded 56 games with an average stake of £8.12. Of the 56 trades, 37 were winners giving me a strike rate of 66.07%.

Although I use £10 stakes, they are not always fully matched as I drip my stakes in. If there is an early goal, I may only be partly matched on the full £10.

My total stakes were £455 with a return of £58.37 giving me a Yield for the month of 12.82%.

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Telegram Channel Now Added

I’ve now activated my new Telegram channel so that you can be alerted to any 5K Challenge or Lay the Draw selections that I post to the site.

With so many of us now using smartphones, it makes sense to use Telegram.

You can also install the Telegram app to both mobile or desktop platforms.

My channel can be found here https://t.me/myfootytrading

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5k Challenge Results – Month 2 – Loss -6.17 Pts

Following an excellent start to my 5K Challenge, in the second month, I recorded a 6.17 pt loss.

This brings my total P/L so far for the two months to +1.45 pts. So still in profit.

In total, I traded just 21 games, with only 10 winners and 11 losers.

Critically, out of my 11 losers, 10 were 1 point losses. I just couldn’t seem to find any late goals.

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5k Challenge Results – Month 1 – PROFIT +7.63 Pts

Below you can see my results for my first month attempting my 5k challenge.

Month: 1

Period: 12th August – 11th September 2020

Monthly Profit/Loss: +7.63 pts (£76.34)

Total Staked: £396.82 (Avg Stake £7.63)

Monthly Yield: +19.23%

Running P/L: +7.63 pts (£76.34)

Starting Bank: £500

Current Bank: £576.34

A good start to my 5k Challenge. If I can hit 7.63 pts profit each month my bank will really start to increase with compounding.

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5K Challenge

I recently set myself a new challenge, which is to turn a £500 bank into £5,000.

No easy feat, but I’m optimistic that it can be achieved given sufficient time.

I started my own personal challenge on the 12th of August 2020 and have already got off to a flying start with my bank now standing at £674.73 or +17.47 pts.

I’m currently using maximum stakes of around £13 which is 2% of my trading bank and will use compounding so that as my bank grows, so will my stakes.

I will be publishing my results each month via the blog including my profit and loss figures.

My aim is to use mostly Over 2.5 and BTTS markets.

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