Monthly Trading Results – October 2018

October was the start of my second run for the LTD2 system.

We actually started the new run and paid subscription service on the 29th September, but I will combine those couple of days into October’s results below.

In total we traded 63 games and won 39 of those giving us a win rate of 61.90%. Not too bad, but I would have preferred to see that at around 70%.

To breakdown the results, we had 10 larger wins, 29 small wins, 14 larger losses and 10 small losses.

We made a tiny loss on our first month overall of just 0.094 points using a starting bank of £500 and 2% stakes (£10). This means that the first month saw a loss of £0.94 and saw my bank reduced a fraction to £499.06. Your own figures may be slightly different.

In total I staked £603 and saw a return on investment (ROI) of -0.155%.

So pretty much scratch this month, which is never a bad thing and shows how resilient the system is considering we didn’t get off to a great start. I even managed to find six 0-0’s, which I have never managed to do in one month, so in hindsight, scratch was a good result.

Something very important to note is that we started the LTD2 system slightly differently than before in that we held back 0.5 pts to back over 2.5 goals around 20 minutes if the in-play stats were good enough.

On the 23rd of October, I decided to abolish this and just revert to the way I traded LTD2 previously, but with a slight twist in that we now stake 0.8 pts from kick-off and hold back 0.2 pts to use for insurance purposes late in the game if we had a loss at around 65 minutes.

The feedback I have received about this has been very positive, which I was glad to hear.

This approach has been working really well and since the 23rd we have made a steady profit of 3.3 points. Now the major leagues are in full flight, I am expecting some good profits over the next couple of months onwards.

I will monitor how successful the insurance element is over time. If it doesn’t give us a good return over the long term, then it may be more profitable to just stick with a straight one point LTD with no insurance.

In terms of goals, my selection method found a total of 171 goals with an average of 2.71 goals per game, which I think is very good.

Below you can see a breakdown and some stats for October.

All Trades: 39/63 – 61.90%
Longest Losing Run: 4
Longest Winning Run: 7
Large Losses: 14/63 – 22.22%
Large Wins: 10/63 – 15.87%
Small Wins: 29/63 – 46.03%
Small Losses: 10/63 – 15.87%
0-0 at HT: 19/63 – 30.15%
Over 2.5 Games: 33/63 – 52.38%
0-0 at FT: 6/63 – 9.52%
Average goals per game: 2.71 (171 goals)

October P/L: -0.094 pts (-£0.94)
Starting Bank (29th September 2018): £500
Current Bank: £499.06

The new subscription based Lay the Draw service is now live

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The new Lay the Draw service is now live!

The initial response to the new service has been excellent and for those who have not already expired I still have a few places remaining at the current prices.

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Sign-up asap as the current offer only applies to the first 100 subscribers!!

All the best.



Monthly Trading Results – June 2018

+ 2.731 pts

June was a profitable month to help from my loss in May.

In total I traded just 12 matches and had a strike rate of 83.33% (10/12), which resulted in a profit of 2.731 pts. In monetary terms, this was a profit for me of £43.24 using an average stake of £15.83 with total stakes for the month of £190.

This meant that for the month I had an ROI (Return on Investment) of 22.75%. Not bad at all!!

I think the numbers for this month are a good lesson and show that if you are selective, patient and trade less, you can still make a decent profit, which over the course of the year can really mount up when you compound your profits.

Here are the raw figures.

Monthly P/L: +2.731 pts – +£43.24

Monthly ROI: +22.75%

Stakes: £15.83 (Average, approx 3% of bank)

Starting Bank: £500 (1st of May 2018)

Current Bank: £488.84

All Trades Strike Rate: 10/12 – 83.33%

LTD2 Strike Rate: 10/12 – 83.33%

0-0 at HT: 4/12 – 33.33%

0-0 at FT: 1/12 – 8.33%

Over 2.5 Games: 8/12 – 66.66%

Longest Losing Run: 1 Game

Longest Winning Run: 9 Games

Large Losses: 2/12- 16.66%

Large Wins: 5/12 – 41.66%

Small Losses: 0/12 – 0%

Small Wins: 4/12 – 33.33%

Monthly Trading Results – May 2018

- 5.744 pts

Due to my personal work load, I will no longer be posting daily results to the site, but will instead just post my combined results and figures for each month.

My selections will always be posted to the site and sent out to my newsletter subscribers as normal.

May was without doubt my worst month of trading my LTD2/3 systems. I got off to a poor start to the month and due to a limited number of trades for the month in total (just 23) I was not able to recover this position.

In hindsight, I should have left those end of season games alone as they do have a tendency of throwing up unexpected results with teams not having too much to play for and players tired after a long season.

I’m confident that June will be a better month and that we can get back to winning ways now that the Scandinavian and other leagues are in full swing.

Here are my results for May.

Monthly P/L: -5.744 pts – -£54.40

Monthly ROI: -24.95%

Stakes: £9.47 (Average, approx 1% of bank)

Starting Bank: £500 (1st of May 2018)

Current Bank: £445.60

All Trades Strike Rate: 13/23 – 56.52%

LTD2 Strike Rate: 13/23 – 56.52%

LTD3 Strike Rate: No trades

0-0 at HT: 8/23 – 34.78%

0-0 at FT: 1/23 – 4.34%

Over 2.5 Games: 12/23 – 52.17%

Longest Losing Run: 4 Games

Longest Winning Run: 4 Games

Large Losses: 8/23- 34.78%

Large Wins: 1/23 – 4.34%

Small Losses: 2/23 – 8.69%

Small Wins: 11/23 – 47.82%

Monthly Trading Results – February 2018

+ 4.139 pts

February was another good month for my lay the draw systems with a total profit of 4.139 pts or £46.87 added to the bank.

Considering that my first four trades of the month were all 1 pt losses (all in one day) it’s an excellent result. I have been trading for quite a while now and expect losses and to have 4/4 in one day is always a real blow to ones self esteem and can be a test of character for new traders.

I staked a total of £326 which meant that I had an overall return on investment of  or a 14.37%. Try getting that from your bank!!

I traded a total of 28 games which is a little lower than usual, but I have become more disciplined with my selection process and if I am in any doubt I just won’t trade games for the sake of it.

Here are my results.

Monthly P/L: +4.139 pts – +£46.87

Monthly ROI: +14.37%

Stakes: £11.64 (Average, approx 1% of bank)

Starting Bank: £500 (1st of May 2017)

Current Bank: £1,276.35

All Trades Strike Rate: 21/28 – 75.00%

LTD2 Strike Rate: 16/23 – 69.56%

LTD3 Strike Rate: 5/5 – 100%

0-0 at HT: 3/28 – 10.71%

0-0 at FT: 0/28 – 0%

Over 2.5 Games: 11/28 – 39.28%

Longest Losing Run: 4 Games

Longest Winning Run: 10 Games

Large Losses: 5/28- 17.85%

Large Wins: 8/28 – 28.57%

Small Losses: 2/28 – 7.14%

Small Wins: 13/28 – 46.42%


Monthly Trading Results – January 2018

- 0.428 pts

Just a small loss for January of 0.428 pts, which wasn’t too bad.

I staked a total of £441 with average stakes of £11.30 and traded a total of 39 games.

Here are the rest of the figures.

Monthly P/L: -0.428 pts-£4.84

Monthly ROI: -1.01%

Stakes: £11.30 (Average, approx 1% of bank)

Starting Bank: £500 (1st of May 2017)

Current Bank: £1,228.17

All Trades Strike Rate: 27/39 – 69.23%

LTD2 Strike Rate: 27/39 – 69.23%

0-0 at HT: 13/39 – 33.33%

0-0 at FT: 2/39 – 5.12%

Over 2.5 Games: 15/39 – 38.46%

Longest Losing Run: 3 Games

Longest Winning Run: 8 Games

Full Point Losses: 8



Monthly Trading Results – December 2017

- 1.790 pts

December wasn’t a great month for me unfortunately. After seven consistent monthly profits, I was bound to hit a loser eventually. Saying that, it was only a small loss of 1.790 points, so no real damage done to the bank.

In total I staked £648 and traded 44 games. This is pretty low for me, but was due to the international and European games that were played, which I do not trade. These tend to take up a week or two at a time with no domestic games being played during this time.

I did use 2% stakes on a few occasions, but mostly my stakes were 1% of bank. The average stake for December was £14.72.

I had a whopping nine 1 point losses including five 0-0 draws for this period, which is far too many to make a profit.

All things considered though, to have such a terrible month and still only lose 1.790 points can’t be too bad can it?

At the start of May 2017 I had a 12 month target of 70+ pts so I am still well on track to hit that goal by May 2018 with my current total of 52 pts.

I am currently testing some other systems and will hopefully have more news on their profitability in the coming months.

Monthly P/L: -1.790 pts – -£26.36

Monthly ROI: -4.06%

Stakes: £12.00-£24.00 (1%-2% of bank)

Starting Bank: £500 (1st of May 2017)

Current Bank: £1,233.01

All Trades Strike Rate: 30/44 – 68.18%

LTD2 Strike Rate: 30/44 – 68.18%

0-0 at HT: 13/44 – 29.54%

0-0 at FT: 5/44 – 11.36%

Over 2.5 Games: 26/44 – 59.09%

Longest Losing Run: 2 Games

Longest Winning Run: 4 Games

Full Point Losses: 9

Monthly Trading Results – November 2017

+ £74.04 / 6.170 pts

Another profitable month for November, although I only managed to trade 39 games in total due to the international break, which lasted around two weeks. Even so, I still managed to produce a profit of £74.04 or 6.170 points which has helped to keep the bank moving in the right direction.

I recently tweaked my selection filters and decided to reduce my stakes to 1% of bank from the usual 2% so I could assess how effective the new filters were performing. I am quite happy with how things have been going so will most likely return to 2% of bank in December at some point.

Monthly P/L: +£74.04 – +6.170 pts

Monthly ROI: +16.38%

Stakes: £11-12.00 (1% of bank)

Starting Bank: £500 (1st of May 2017)

Current Bank: £1,259.41

All Trades Strike Rate: 30/39 – 76.92%

LTD2 Strike Rate: 30/39 – 76.92%

0-0 at HT: 7/39 – 17.94%

Longest Losing Run: 3 Games

Longest Winning Run: 8 Games

Full Point Losses: 4

I have been testing a slightly different version of LTD which I have suitably named LTD3 and this has been producing fantastic results. You can see how it has been performing below. Not bad considering I have been testing with stakes of around £10.00!

MonthProfitPoints ProfitStrike Rate# of TradesStakedROI
October+£94.76+8.22 85.71%21£242+39.15%
November+£112.11+11.14 91.11%45£453+24.74%
December -£74.15-8.17 70.58%17£155-47.83%
January+£19.86+3.75 79.16%24£129+15.39%

So stay tuned and keep returning back to the site and I will keep updating the numbers so you can see how this new system performs over time.

Monthly Trading Results – October 2017

+ £92.11 / 4.186 pts

October was another good and positive trading month with a total profit of £92.11 added to the bank. This represented a return on investment over the previous month of 8.42%.

The bank has now grown by £685.37 over the past 6 months, which I am quite pleased with.

The first two weeks of the month started pretty slowly and I managed to find five 1 pt losses, which set me back a little. I then decided to revert to 1% of bank stakes until the end of the month to ride out the storm.

Midway through the month I spent some time tweaking my selection process and have also been working on a set and forget lay the draw system, which has been going very well with a strike rate of over 85%. Hopefully this will continue. If I find that the testing continues to perform well over the next few weeks, I will most likely adopt it as a new system and add to the site.

I am particular excited about the the set and forget system as the time spent trading at the weekends can get in the way of family life. So to have an optional system that can be setup and just forgotten about is something that will no doubt appeal to many.

I am also experimenting a little with exit strategies and hope to report back on this over the next few weeks or so. I will be using 1% of bank stakes again this month while I am testing.

I did a total of 53 trades, which is quite a bit lower than usual 70 or so, but this was due to the number of international and European games that were taking place.

Monthly P/L: +£92.11 – 4.186 pts

Monthly ROI: +11.30%

Stakes: £11.00/£22.00 (1% or 2% of bank)

Starting Bank: £500 (1st of May 2017)

Current Bank: £1,185.37

All Trades Strike Rate: 38/53 – 71.69%

LTD2 Strike Rate: 36/49 – 73.46%

LTD1 Strike Rate: 2/4 – 50.00%

0-0 at HT: 17/53 – 32.07%

Longest Losing Run: 3 Games

Longest Winning Run: 8 Games

Full Point Losses: 7

Monthly Trading Results – September 2017

+ £119.79 / 5.989 pts

Another good profit added to the bank this month, although it would have been so much better if it wasn’t for those four 1 pt losses at the end of the month!

I made a total profit of £119.79, which equates to 5.989 pts at £20 stakes. Since May this year, my bank has increased steadily and now stands at £1,092.87 from the initial £500.

One thing I did notice this month, which was really interesting was that with nearly all of my trades where I bagged a good profit (teams generally taking a two goal lead) the draw price was between 3.80 and 4.10.

I guess this kind of makes sense as the higher the draw price the more likely there are to be plenty of goals, but just an observation.

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